MEM @ GSW, Fri, Oct 23 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 23·MEM @ GSW·Fri, Oct 23·2 of 10 right

MemphisGrizzlies

111◂

Golden StateWarriors

108

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	MEM	GSW	pred	pick	miss
Final			−3	MEM
LOKI †	−0.5	+2.6	+3.1	GSW	6.1	✗
BPM	+1.0	−0.2	−1.3	MEM	1.7	✓
EPM projection	+0.4	+1.8	+1.4	GSW	4.4	✗
DARKO	−1.6	+0.1	+1.7	GSW	4.7	✗
OpenRAPM	−2.1	−1.3	+0.7	GSW	3.7	✗
EPM	−0.2	+1.0	+1.2	GSW	4.2	✗
xPM	−1.9	−0.5	+1.4	GSW	4.4	✗
Pulse	+0.1	−1.3	−1.4	MEM	1.6	✓
xRAPM	+0.3	+0.4	+0.1	GSW	3.1	✗
LEBRON	−1.5	+0.2	+1.8	GSW	4.8	✗

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

MEM	rating		min		48		adds
Cameron Boozer	−2.00	×	37	÷	48	=	−1.54
Ty Jerome	+4.01	×	32	÷	48	=	+2.67
Jaylen Wells	−0.47	×	25	÷	48	=	−0.25
Zach Edey	+2.02	×	22	÷	48	=	+0.93
GG Jackson	−0.54	×	15	÷	48	=	−0.17
Jerami Grant	−1.62	×	26	÷	48	=	−0.88
Quinten Post	−1.76	×	20	÷	48	=	−0.73
Scotty Pippen Jr.	−2.00	×	17	÷	48	=	−0.71
Cam Spencer	+1.52	×	17	÷	48	=	+0.54
Isaiah Stewart	−0.95	×	16	÷	48	=	−0.32
Kris Murray	+0.02	×	13	÷	48	=	+0.01
MEM team rating (sum)			240				−0.45

GSW	rating		min		47.6		adds
Yaxel Lendeborg	−2.00	×	37	÷	47.6	=	−1.55
Brandin Podziemski	+3.00	×	33	÷	47.6	=	+2.08
Draymond Green	−1.43	×	31	÷	47.6	=	−0.93
Stephen Curry	+4.83	×	30	÷	47.6	=	+3.04
Graham Ike	−2.00	×	12	÷	47.6	=	−0.50
De'Anthony Melton	+1.01	×	20	÷	47.6	=	+0.42
Gui Santos	+1.52	×	20	÷	47.6	=	+0.64
Al Horford	−0.26	×	19	÷	47.6	=	−0.10
Georges Niang	−2.00	×	13	÷	47.6	=	−0.55
Gary Payton II	+0.95	×	11	÷	47.6	=	+0.22
Brandon Williams	−0.16	×	9	÷	47.6	=	−0.03
Will Richard	−1.59	×	3	÷	47.6	=	−0.10
GSW team rating (sum)			238				+2.64

predicted margin = GSW − MEM = +2.64 − (−0.45) = +3.09 → pick GSW

final margin = 108 − 111 = −3 → won MEM ✗

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

MEM	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Cameron Boozer	37	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Ty Jerome	32	+4.0	+7.7	+3.8	+3.2	+2.8	+4.1	+1.2	+2.8	+2.7	+3.0
Jaylen Wells	25	−0.5	−3.1	+1.3	−1.0	−0.7	+1.0	−1.8	−0.8	0.0	−0.6
Zach Edey	22	+2.0	+0.5	+2.3	+0.6	+2.1	+2.7	+2.6	+3.8	+4.8	+0.9
GG Jackson	15	−0.5	−1.2	−1.2	−1.0	−1.7	−1.9	−0.6	−2.4	−2.9	−0.8
Jerami Grant	26	−1.6

GSW	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Yaxel Lendeborg	37	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Brandin Podziemski	33	+3.0	+0.2	+1.9	+0.5	−0.6	+0.7	+1.3	+0.6	+2.3	+0.2
Draymond Green	31	−1.4	−1.4	+0.2	0.0	−0.4	−0.2	−0.4	−0.6	−1.5	−0.7
Stephen Curry	30	+4.8	+5.4	+5.2	+2.8	+1.9	+5.9	+1.7	+2.4	+3.6	+3.1
Graham Ike	12	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
De'Anthony Melton	20	+1.0	−2.5	−0.2	+1.2	+1.2	−0.6	+1.4	+0.7	−0.2	+0.6
Gui Santos	20	+1.5	−0.6	+0.2	+0.8	+0.3	−0.2	+1.5	+0.6	+0.6	+0.1
Al Horford	19	−0.3	+1.6	+0.5	−0.8	−0.6	+1.3	−2.1	−1.3	+0.9	+1.0
Georges Niang	13	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Gary Payton II	11	+1.0	+1.9	−1.1	−0.1	+1.8	−0.7	+0.8	−0.7	−0.3	+1.7
Brandon Williams	9	−0.2	+0.4	−1.1	+0.5	−0.7	−1.8	−0.8	−0.4	−1.4	+1.0
Will Richard	3	−1.6	−1.7	−1.5	−0.4	+0.5	−2.2	−0.9	−0.6	−1.2	−0.7
Team rating	238	+2.6	−0.2	+1.8	+0.1	−1.3	+1.0	−0.5	−1.3	+0.4	+0.2