MEM @ SAC, Sun, Oct 25 | Hoop Impact Bench

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 25·MEM @ SAC·Sun, Oct 25·10 of 10 right

MemphisGrizzlies

123◂

SacramentoKings

112

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	MEM	SAC	pred	pick	miss
Final			−11	MEM
LOKI †	−0.2	−4.8	−4.5	MEM	6.5	✓
BPM	+0.6	−8.6	−9.3	MEM	1.7	✓
EPM projection	+1.3	−5.8	−7.1	MEM	3.9	✓
DARKO	−2.4	−5.9	−3.4	MEM	7.6	✓
OpenRAPM	−2.7	−9.0	−6.3	MEM	4.7	✓
EPM	+0.3	−6.2	−6.5	MEM	4.5	✓
xPM	−1.9	−4.3	−2.4	MEM	8.6	✓
Pulse	−2.0	−5.7	−3.6	MEM	7.4	✓
xRAPM	−1.5	−9.1	−7.6	MEM	3.4	✓
LEBRON	−2.3	−5.1	−2.8	MEM	8.2	✓

LOKI †how it adds upLOKI record →

MEM	rating		min		47.8		adds
Jaylen Wells	−0.47	×	33	÷	47.8	=	−0.33
Cedric Coward	+1.45	×	32	÷	47.8	=	+0.97
Ty Jerome	+4.01	×	32	÷	47.8	=	+2.69
Cameron Boozer	−2.00	×	31	÷	47.8	=	−1.30
Isaiah Stewart	−0.95	×	22	÷	47.8	=	−0.44
Jerami Grant	−1.62	×	22	÷	47.8	=	−0.75
Scotty Pippen Jr.	−2.00	×	17	÷	47.8	=	−0.71
Quinten Post	−1.76	×	17	÷	47.8	=	−0.63
Cam Spencer	+1.52	×	16	÷	47.8	=	+0.51
GG Jackson	−0.54	×	10	÷	47.8	=	−0.11
Taylor Hendricks	−0.94	×	7	÷	47.8	=	−0.14
MEM team rating (sum)			239				−0.24

SAC	rating		min		47.8		adds
Zach LaVine	+0.21	×	40	÷	47.8	=	+0.18
Precious Achiuwa	−0.76	×	39	÷	47.8	=	−0.62
Darius Acuff Jr.	−2.00	×	36	÷	47.8	=	−1.51
Domantas Sabonis	+2.07	×	35	÷	47.8	=	+1.52
De'Andre Hunter	−1.85	×	29	÷	47.8	=	−1.12
Jonathan Mogbo	−3.52	×	18	÷	47.8	=	−1.33
Daeqwon Plowden	−3.51	×	16	÷	47.8	=	−1.17
Emanuel Sharp	−2.00	×	14	÷	47.8	=	−0.59
Malik Monk	−0.54	×	12	÷	47.8	=	−0.14
SAC team rating (sum)			239				−4.78

predicted margin = SAC − MEM = −4.78 − (−0.24) = −4.54 → pick MEM

final margin = 112 − 123 = −11 → won MEM ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (under 250 minutes last season, or not rated).

Box score

minutes played × preseason ratings

MEM	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Jaylen Wells	33	−0.5	−3.1	+1.3	−1.0	−0.7	+1.0	−1.8	−0.8	0.0	−0.6
Cedric Coward	32	+1.4	−0.2	+1.7	−0.7	0.0	+1.1	+1.0	−0.4	+0.9	−1.2
Ty Jerome	32	+4.0	+7.7	+3.8	+3.2	+2.8	+4.1	+1.2	+2.8	+2.7	+3.0
Cameron Boozer	31	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Isaiah Stewart	22	−1.0	0.0	−0.6	−1.2	−0.7	−0.9	+0.7	−0.7	−1.3	−0.5
Jerami Grant	22

SAC	min	LOKI†	BPM	EPM proj.	DARKO	OpenRAPM	EPM	xPM	Pulse	xRAPM	LEBRON
Zach LaVine	40	+0.2	−1.5	−1.2	−2.4	−3.3	−1.4	−1.1	−1.5	−2.1	−1.7
Precious Achiuwa	39	−0.8	−1.6	−1.0	−0.4	+0.5	−1.3	−1.0	−0.7	−3.1	−0.1
Darius Acuff Jr.	36	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Domantas Sabonis	35	+2.1	+0.6	+1.6	+0.1	−0.9	+1.5	+2.7	+1.0	−0.2	+1.1
De'Andre Hunter	29	−1.9	−3.9	−0.7	−0.9	−2.5	−0.2	−1.8	−1.6	−0.8	−0.8
Jonathan Mogbo	18	−3.5	−0.7	−4.1	−0.9	−1.9	−4.3	−0.6	−1.5	−2.3	−2.1
Daeqwon Plowden	16	−3.5	−4.4	−2.9	−1.3	−2.8	−3.2	−3.1	−1.8	−3.2	−1.7
Emanuel Sharp	14	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0
Malik Monk	12	−0.5	−1.3	−0.7	−0.8	−2.7	−0.7	−0.5	−1.4	−0.6	−2.0
Team rating	239	−4.8	−8.6	−5.8	−5.9	−9.0	−6.2	−4.3	−5.7	−9.1	−5.1