LOKI NBA player projections 2026–27

Name: LOKI NBA player projections 2026–27
Creator: LUMA Basketball Research

ARC

Adjusted Regularized Contribution

Actual impact, 2 seasons through 2025–26.

Final·Last updated Oct 13, 2026

ARC v3.1 · LOKI v3.3 · Changelog · Downloads

			Shot value			Possession value			Usage
#	Player	ARC ↓	Total	Off	Def	Total	Generation	Retention	Poss	GP
1	Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC	+12.91100	+11.02100	+9.54100	+1.4988	+1.8995	−0.3933	+2.29100	7,137	68
2	Nikola JokićDEN	+12.05100	+9.5299	+10.16100	−0.6433	+2.5398	+0.1152	+2.42100	7,234	65
3	Kawhi LeonardLAC	+10.86100	+8.2199	+5.5399	+2.6899	+2.6698	+0.5671	+2.0999	5,216	65
4	Victor WembanyamaSAS	+10.3499	+9.65100	+4.8398	+4.82100	+0.6974	+0.4767	+0.2269	5,260	64
5	Giannis AntetokounmpoMIL	+10.2099	+10.04100	+8.50100	+1.5389	+0.1656	−1.267	+1.4398	4,352	36
6	Luka DončićLAL	+8.0099	+7.4499	+6.5499	+0.9080	+0.5669	−1.199	+1.7499	6,344	64
7	Jimmy Butler IIIGSW	+6.7399	+5.0098	+3.8196	+1.1885	+1.7393	+0.7677	+0.9895	3,976	38
8	Donovan MitchellCLE	+5.8598	+4.3297	+4.4798	−0.1549	+1.5391	+0.3462	+1.1897	6,938	70
9	Stephen CurryGSW	+5.7998	+6.0899	+7.2499	−1.1719	−0.2943	−0.5127	+0.2269	4,954	43
10	Chet HolmgrenOKC	+5.4398	+5.6198	+2.3492	+3.2799	−0.1845	−0.4431	+0.2672	4,879	69
11	Jarrett AllenCLE	+5.0698	+4.7997	+3.1695	+1.6492	+0.2660	+0.7075	−0.4332	5,397	56
12	Lauri MarkkanenUTA	+5.0297	+3.4796	+1.3484	+2.1397	+1.5591	+1.4591	+0.0962	4,438	42
13	Dyson DanielsATL	+4.9497	+2.7793	+1.0482	+1.7394	+2.1697	+1.6694	+0.5082	7,842	76
14	Derrick WhiteBOS	+4.8997	+3.4196	+0.4973	+2.9399	+1.4890	+0.5269	+0.9694	7,497	77
15	Amen ThompsonHOU	+4.8097	+2.8794	+0.8279	+2.0696	+1.9395	+1.6894	+0.2471	7,876	79
16	Bam AdebayoMIA	+4.4797	+1.5282	+0.9180	+0.6173	+2.9599	+1.2487	+1.7199	7,447	73
17	Tyrese MaxeyPHI	+4.2996	+2.5591	+1.6587	+0.9080	+1.7494	+0.7376	+1.0295	7,210	70
18	Ty JeromeMEM	+4.2496	+4.0196	+4.6298	−0.6233	+0.2359	−0.6423	+0.8693	2,071	15
19	Cade CunninghamDET	+4.2096	+2.8994	+3.0994	−0.1947	+1.3187	−0.3137	+1.6198	6,807	64
20	Austin ReavesLAL	+4.1496	+3.9696	+3.5896	+0.3867	+0.1857	−0.5925	+0.7791	6,024	51
21	Devin BookerPHX	+4.1195	+4.5597	+4.0898	+0.4669	−0.4437	−0.5526	+0.1264	6,988	64
22	Pascal SiakamIND	+4.0195	+2.9994	+1.3484	+1.6593	+1.0383	+0.3462	+0.6988	6,648	62
23	Kevin DurantHOU	+3.9495	+5.3398	+5.7099	−0.3742	−1.3912	−1.574	+0.1967	7,715	78
24	Ausar ThompsonDET	+3.8295	+1.5182	−0.4555	+1.9696	+2.3197	+2.6298	−0.3140	5,106	73
25	Franz WagnerORL	+3.8094	+2.5992	+2.5793	+0.0254	+1.2285	+0.5269	+0.6988	4,051	34
26	Neemias QuetaBOS	+3.7594	+2.5090	+0.2368	+2.2797	+1.2586	+1.1385	+0.1264	4,442	76
27	Joel EmbiidPHI	+3.7494	+5.2998	+3.9297	+1.3787	−1.5510	−1.702	+0.1666	2,961	38
28	Paul ReedDET	+3.6994	+1.5483	+1.4186	+0.1358	+2.1597	+2.3097	−0.1649	2,204	65
29	Zion WilliamsonNOP	+3.6594	+3.1595	+2.1191	+1.0482	+0.5067	−0.3037	+0.8192	4,611	62
30	Jayson TatumBOS	+3.6193	+2.6892	+2.0590	+0.6374	+0.9380	−0.6024	+1.5298	3,593	16
31	Moussa DiabatéCHA	+3.5993	−0.3157	−0.2259	−0.0950	+3.90100	+3.7699	+0.1566	4,800	73
32	Day'Ron SharpeBKN	+3.5893	+2.3490	+1.1983	+1.1584	+1.2586	+2.0396	−0.7916	3,095	62
33	Karl-Anthony TownsNYK	+3.4193	+3.2295	+3.8297	−0.6034	+0.1957	−0.8317	+1.0295	7,069	75
34	Anthony EdwardsMIN	+3.3592	+2.5290	+4.0697	−1.5411	+0.8377	−0.5127	+1.3597	7,128	61
35	Jalen SmithCHI	+3.3392	+2.3990	+1.7488	+0.6574	+0.9480	+0.1956	+0.7590	3,214	53
36	Alex CarusoOKC	+3.2792	+1.1479	−0.5053	+1.6492	+2.1397	+2.0696	+0.0760	3,053	56
37	Matisse ThybullePOR	+3.1592	+0.0162	−1.8620	+1.8795	+3.1499	+3.97100	−0.8314	1,278	30
38	Jalen DurenDET	+3.1491	+1.7084	+2.6894	−0.9823	+1.4489	+0.7577	+0.6988	6,004	70
39	Marcus SmartLAL	+3.0791	+1.8486	−0.4355	+2.2797	+1.2385	+0.6474	+0.5985	4,216	62
40	Evan MobleyCLE	+2.9991	+2.6492	+0.9381	+1.7193	+0.3562	−0.2639	+0.6286	6,280	65
41	OG AnunobyNYK	+2.9491	+2.5691	+1.4586	+1.1183	+0.3863	+0.6774	−0.2941	6,986	67
42	Zach EdeyMEM	+2.9291	+1.9687	+0.3870	+1.5891	+0.9681	+0.9682	−0.0157	2,018	11
43	Collin GillespiePHX	+2.9090	+0.7874	+1.4786	−0.6832	+2.1297	+0.9982	+1.1396	4,862	80
44	Kon KnueppelCHA	+2.8790	+2.7993	+3.0594	−0.2746	+0.0854	−0.3435	+0.4280	4,999	81
45	Anthony DavisWAS	+2.8689	+2.2489	+1.3885	+0.8679	+0.6271	+0.4566	+0.1867	2,913	20
46	Jaren Jackson Jr.UTA	+2.8689	+3.0295	−0.9040	+3.92100	−0.1745	+0.1152	−0.2842	5,234	48
47	Ryan RollinsMIL	+2.8689	+4.0697	+2.1891	+1.8795	−1.2015	−0.8617	−0.3338	5,494	74
48	Jalen SuggsORL	+2.8289	+1.8586	+0.4773	+1.3987	+0.9681	+0.9180	+0.0560	4,244	57
49	Desmond BaneORL	+2.7689	+2.5691	+1.9790	+0.5973	+0.2058	−0.1842	+0.3978	7,785	82
50	Robert Williams IIIPOR	+2.7289	+3.1895	+0.5675	+2.6298	−0.4737	+1.0884	−1.551	2,360	59
51	Jrue HolidayPOR	+2.7089	+1.9087	+0.3669	+1.5489	+0.7976	+0.4566	+0.3476	5,052	53
52	Scottie BarnesTOR	+2.6088	+1.1579	−0.4255	+1.5791	+1.4590	+1.2688	+0.2068	7,477	80
53	CJ McCollumATL	+2.5888	+2.9694	+0.5474	+2.4198	−0.3740	−0.5925	+0.2269	6,458	76
54	LaMelo BallCHA	+2.5688	+0.8275	+3.0994	−2.263	+1.7393	+0.0549	+1.6899	5,498	72
55	Miles McBrideNYK	+2.3688	−0.0560	−1.1135	+1.0683	+2.4198	+1.4692	+0.9594	3,634	41
56	Ja MorantMEM	+2.3187	+1.7885	+0.9581	+0.8379	+0.5368	−0.0945	+0.6186	2,750	20
57	Cedric CowardMEM	+2.2987	+4.2897	+2.2692	+2.0396	−1.993	−1.199	−0.8016	3,257	62
58	Jamal MurrayDEN	+2.2987	+1.8286	+4.0197	−2.194	+0.4766	−1.712	+2.18100	7,684	75
59	Michael Porter Jr.BKN	+2.1787	+2.0388	+2.2492	−0.2146	+0.1455	−0.1243	+0.2773	5,946	52
60	Donte DiVincenzoMIN	+2.0886	+2.5891	+0.4673	+2.1197	−0.4936	−0.2938	−0.2046	6,632	82

Individual skill groups are box-score ledger components priced into points; lineups are what on-court results add beyond them. Units: points per 100 possessions against the average possession.