PHI @ CHA, Sat, Oct 31 (dynamic)

PRESEASON DYNAMIC·← Oct 31·PHI @ CHA·Sat, Oct 31·9 of 11 right

Philadelphia76ers

109◂

CharlotteHornets

104

Predictions

from the players who played

? What this table shows

Team columns: Each team’s rating: the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played.
Pred: Home team rating − away team rating: the predicted home margin.
Pick: The team with the higher rating. No home-court points.
Miss: Points between predicted and final margin.
SCORE: The game’s actual total, split by the predicted margin.
How it adds up: Click a metric. Each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48 is what he adds; a team’s adds sum to its rating.

metric	PHI	CHA	pred	pick	miss
Final			−5	PHI
ARC Live †	+1.7	−1.4	−3.1	PHI	1.9	✓
Pulse	+1.9	−0.1	−2.0	PHI	3.0	✓
DARKO	+1.2	−1.9	−3.1	PHI	1.9	✓
LOKI †	+1.5	−1.8	−3.3	PHI	1.7	✓
EPM	−0.7	−1.5	−0.8	PHI	4.2	✓
EPM projection	+3.4	+0.9	−2.5	PHI	2.5	✓
LEBRON	+2.0	+0.5	−1.5	PHI	3.5	✓
BPM	+2.8	+2.2	−0.6	PHI	4.4	✓
OpenRAPM	−0.8	−2.4	−1.6	PHI	3.4	✓
xPM	−0.5	+0.5	+1.0	CHA	6.0	✗
xRAPM	+2.0	+2.1	+0.1	CHA	5.1	✗

ARC Live †how it adds upARC Live record →

PHI	rating		min		47.8		adds
Jaylen Brown	+0.12	×	38	÷	47.8	=	+0.10
Tyrese Maxey	+3.47	×	38	÷	47.8	=	+2.76
VJ Edgecombe	+0.82	×	37	÷	47.8	=	+0.63
Dean Wade	+1.66	×	30	÷	47.8	=	+1.04
Adem Bona	−0.83	×	22	÷	47.8	=	−0.38
Anfernee Simons	−1.42	×	25	÷	47.8	=	−0.74
Jabari Walker	−1.33	×	19	÷	47.8	=	−0.53
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	−1.34	×	18	÷	47.8	=	−0.50
Labaron Philon	−2.86	×	10	÷	47.8	=	−0.60
Justin Edwards	−1.91	×	2	÷	47.8	=	−0.08
PHI team rating (sum)			239				+1.69

CHA	rating		min		48.4		adds
Naz Reid	+0.28	×	36	÷	48.4	=	+0.21
Dennis Schröder	−1.36	×	35	÷	48.4	=	−0.98
Brandon Miller	+1.45	×	33	÷	48.4	=	+0.99
Moussa Diabaté	+3.05	×	28	÷	48.4	=	+1.76
Sion James	−1.15	×	18	÷	48.4	=	−0.43
Grayson Allen	−0.54	×	30	÷	48.4	=	−0.33
Royce O'Neale	−1.56	×	23	÷	48.4	=	−0.74
Ryan Kalkbrenner	−1.32	×	19	÷	48.4	=	−0.52
Tidjane Salaün	−3.56	×	12	÷	48.4	=	−0.88
Christian Anderson	−3.02	×	8	÷	48.4	=	−0.50
CHA team rating (sum)			242				−1.43

predicted margin = CHA − PHI = −1.43 − (+1.69) = −3.12 → pick PHI

final margin = 104 − 109 = −5 → won PHI ✓

48 = a team’s minutes ÷ 5 (240 in regulation; box-score minutes are rounded, so it can read 47.6 to 48.6, and more in overtime). Ratings and margins are points per 100 possessions; a game runs about 100. Dim ratings count as −2.0 (not rated by that metric).

Box score

minutes played × that morning’s ratings

PHI	min	ARC†	Pulse	DARKO	LOKI†	EPM	EPM proj.	LEBRON	BPM	OpenRAPM	xPM	xRAPM
Jaylen Brown	38	+0.1	+1.6	+2.2	+0.2	+0.7	+1.7	+1.5	+3.3	−0.5	+1.2	−0.6
Tyrese Maxey	38	+3.5	+3.7	+2.6	+3.4	+2.2	+3.3	+2.9	+5.4	+3.5	+1.5	+3.5
VJ Edgecombe	37	+0.8	+0.1	−0.4	+0.6	+0.9	+2.5	0.0	−0.5	−0.1	+0.1	+1.1
Dean Wade	30	+1.7	+1.2	+0.6	+1.0	+0.5	+0.5	+0.6	+0.2	0.0	−0.3	+3.1
Adem Bona	22	−0.8	−2.1	−1.3	−1.3	−1.8	−0.8	−0.9	−2.9	−2.1	+0.2	−2.4
Anfernee Simons	25	−1.4	−1.7	−2.0	−0.6	−1.6	−1.0	0.0	−0.1	−1.7	−1.6	−1.3
Jabari Walker

CHA	min	ARC†	Pulse	DARKO	LOKI†	EPM	EPM proj.	LEBRON	BPM	OpenRAPM	xPM	xRAPM
Naz Reid	36	+0.3	−0.1	−0.1	+1.2	−0.2	+0.8	+1.1	+0.9	−2.4	+0.6	+2.0
Dennis Schröder	35	−1.4	−2.3	−2.6	−2.0	−1.6	−1.4	−0.9	−2.2	−1.6	−2.3	−1.9
Brandon Miller	33	+1.5	+2.2	+1.1	+1.7	+1.7	+2.4	+1.3	+1.6	+2.0	+1.8	+3.8
Moussa Diabaté	28	+3.1	+2.7	+1.3	+3.3	+1.7	+2.0	+1.8	+1.7	+2.7	+3.9	+0.7
Sion James	18	−1.1	−0.4	−1.5	−1.7	−0.2	−0.1	−0.3	−2.0	−0.6	−1.6	+1.5
Grayson Allen	30	−0.5	+0.1	+0.6	−0.8	+0.9	+0.8	+0.5	+2.1	−1.4	−0.1	+0.3
Royce O'Neale	23	−1.6	−0.8	−1.5	−3.2	−2.4	−2.0	−2.1	+0.7	−1.5	−1.3	−1.7
Ryan Kalkbrenner	19	−1.3	+0.5	+0.4	−1.4	−0.4	+0.3	−0.5	+1.8	+0.7	+1.7	−0.5
Tidjane Salaün	12	−3.6	−3.2	−1.6	−3.1	−2.8	−3.0	−1.2	−0.8	−1.9	−2.5	−1.6
Christian Anderson	8	−3.0	−2.5	−2.0	−2.0	−4.9	−2.0	−2.0	−2.0	−1.8	−3.1	−2.0
Team rating	242	−1.4	−0.1	−1.9	−1.8	−1.5	+0.9	+0.5	+2.2	−2.4	+0.5	+2.1