HOOP IMPACT BENCH
LIVEGAMESPLAYERSHISTORICALMETHOD
last updated Nov 1, 10:05 AM ETSOURCE ↗GITHUB ↗
PRESEASONDYNAMIC·through Oct 31·6 games·11 metrics·ratings saved each morning before tip-off·1 game left off

Standings

Each metric’s record on every 2026–27 NBA game since Oct 31, computed using its rating as published the morning of each game.

rkmetricwlpctgbl10strklastprenet err ↓margin r²win % ravg miss
1–4PulseCourtSignal↗51.833–5–1W45–14–28.576.84–10.04.379.009–1.000.46814.82
1–8ARC Live †LUMA Basketball Research↗51.833–5–1W45–18.806.77–10.44.423.032–1.000.56214.29
1–9LEBRONBBall Index↗42.66714–2L14–24–29.037.02–10.91.198.006–1.000.41016.31
2–7DARKOKostya Medvedovsky↗51.833–5–1W45–15–19.046.81–10.94.318.011–1.000.39015.56
2–10LOKI †LUMA Basketball Research↗51.833–5–1W45–15–19.317.36–10.96.221.011–1.000.43015.94
3–10xPMGeorge Berry, VORP.app↗33.50023–3L13–34–29.447.58–11.04.151.004–1.000.34216.55
1–10EPMTaylor Snarr, Dunks & Threes↗51.833–5–1W45–15–19.587.12–11.79.177.005–1.000.37115.99
5–10EPM projectionDanny Harlan↗51.833–5–1W45–15–19.637.72–11.28.121.004–1.000.42316.92
3–10BPMBasketball-Reference↗42.66714–2L14–24–29.707.82–11.36.133.004–1.000.30717.19
1–11OpenRAPMNathan Walker↗42.66714–2W34–24–29.987.32–12.29.000.000–1.000.07018.67
6–11xRAPMJeremias Engelmann↗33.50023–3L13–33–310.468.28–12.48.071.001–1.000.30118.13
? What this table shows
Pick
The team with the higher rating. A team’s rating is the sum of each player’s rating × minutes ÷ 48, for the players who played. No home-court points.
W, L, PCT
Correct picks, wrong picks, share correct.
GB
Games behind the leader.
L10
Record over the last 10 games.
STRK
Current streak of correct (W) or wrong (L) picks.
LAST
Record on the latest game day.
RK
Sorted by net err (the default): the range of places in the middle 90% of resamples. Sorted by W: place by record.
▲ ▼
Sorted by W: places moved since the previous game day. Equal records share a place (T5), ordered by margin r².
Margin r²
The share of the variation in final margins that the predicted margins explain. Small numbers: the 90% interval.
Win % r
The correlation between team rating and team win %.
Net err
The error between team rating and the team’s margin adjusted for opponent and home court, in points.
Avg miss
The average points between predicted and final margin.
Pre
The preseason board’s record on the same games.

With few games the intervals overlap, so the order can still change. Method →

Source: Hoop Impact Bench

Maintained by LUMA Basketball Research · † LUMA’s own models · ratings belong to their makers

code MIT · data CC BY 4.0 · © 2026 Court Share LLC · github