LOKI NBA player projections 2026–27

LOKIPreseason

Expected impact for 2026–27, using every game before opening night.

Last updated Oct 13, 2026·Next release R2 Quarter mark, Dec 13 (est.)

ARC v3.1 · LOKI v3.3 · Changelog · Downloads

NovDecJan 2027FebMarApr

			Shot value			Possession value			Odds
#	Player	LOKI ↓	Total	Off	Def	Total	Generation	Retention	P(#1)	P(top 10)	P(top 25)	P(top 50)
1	Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC	+12.67100	+10.65100	+8.20100	+2.4498	+2.0292	−0.2344	+2.25100	57%	>99%	>99%	>99%
2	Nikola JokićDEN	+11.38100	+9.7499	+9.95100	−0.2139	+1.6489	−0.6624	+2.29100	26%	98%	>99%	>99%
3	Victor WembanyamaSAS	+10.01100	+10.10100	+4.9698	+5.14100	−0.1046	+0.0553	−0.1446	11%	94%	99%	>99%
4	Giannis AntetokounmpoMIA	+8.6599	+8.1899	+6.9999	+1.1982	+0.4664	−1.0116	+1.4798	2%	81%	96%	99%
5	Kawhi LeonardTOR	+8.4599	+5.9098	+4.2898	+1.6291	+2.5497	+0.3564	+2.1999	2%	78%	95%	99%
6	Luka DončićLAL	+7.5799	+7.0699	+6.3999	+0.6769	+0.5166	−1.1911	+1.7099	1%	65%	91%	98%
7	Chet HolmgrenOKC	+6.0699	+6.8098	+2.9194	+3.89100	−0.7430	−0.7821	+0.0455	0%	37%	69%	87%
8	Tyrese HaliburtonIND · returning	+5.8199	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·
9	Franz WagnerORL	+5.7198	+4.2097	+2.7493	+1.4689	+1.5287	+0.3865	+1.1494	0%	29%	63%	85%
10	Donovan MitchellCLE	+5.7198	+3.6596	+3.4997	+0.1751	+2.0493	+0.6573	+1.3997	0%	28%	64%	86%
11	Joel EmbiidPHI	+5.6998	+8.0999	+6.1198	+1.9894	−2.392	−2.480	+0.0957	0%	29%	65%	86%
12	Jimmy Butler IIIGSW	+5.3598	+3.4594	+3.2096	+0.2655	+1.8991	+0.7476	+1.1694	0%	24%	59%	82%
13	Jarrett AllenCLE	+5.0198	+5.0397	+3.0095	+2.0395	−0.0348	+0.4767	−0.4927	0%	18%	52%	77%
14	Lauri MarkkanenUTA	+4.9798	+3.3893	+1.9289	+1.4790	+1.5988	+1.2384	+0.3672	0%	18%	51%	77%
15	Dyson DanielsATL	+4.8597	+2.6588	+1.1581	+1.5090	+2.1994	+1.8092	+0.3974	0%	17%	49%	75%
16	Stephen CurryGSW	+4.8397	+5.7498	+6.7099	−0.9617	−0.9223	−0.7921	−0.1346	0%	16%	47%	73%
17	Amen ThompsonHOU	+4.6697	+2.4287	+0.1663	+2.2697	+2.2595	+1.8092	+0.4576	0%	17%	46%	71%
18	Jayson TatumBOS	+4.5997	+3.9496	+2.8293	+1.1381	+0.6569	−0.5429	+1.1994	0%	14%	43%	69%
19	Anthony EdwardsMIN	+4.5197	+4.1296	+4.0798	+0.0447	+0.4061	−0.4931	+0.8991	0%	13%	42%	69%
20	Cade CunninghamDET	+4.4697	+3.1892	+3.0696	+0.1250	+1.2883	+0.0754	+1.2195	0%	13%	41%	68%
21	Kyrie IrvingDAL · returning	+4.0396	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·
22	Day'Ron SharpeBKN	+4.0296	+1.7882	+0.5071	+1.2884	+2.2495	+3.1299	−0.8914	0%	9%	34%	60%
23	Jalen DurenDET	+3.9396	+2.9791	+2.7393	+0.2454	+0.9676	+0.5670	+0.4174	0%	8%	32%	58%
24	Ausar ThompsonDET	+3.9296	+1.4276	−0.9137	+2.3297	+2.5197	+2.7598	−0.2440	0%	10%	32%	57%
25	Devin BookerPHX	+3.9196	+3.8996	+3.7197	+0.1852	+0.0350	−0.4136	+0.4476	0%	6%	30%	58%
26	Zion WilliamsonNOP	+3.8595	+3.4594	+2.4991	+0.9676	+0.4061	−0.1645	+0.5679	0%	8%	28%	57%
27	Bam AdebayoMIA	+3.8295	+1.3175	+0.6874	+0.6368	+2.5297	+0.8277	+1.6999	0%	7%	29%	56%
28	Derrick WhiteBOS	+3.7695	+3.4795	+0.5272	+2.9399	+0.3259	−0.4833	+0.8089	0%	7%	29%	56%
29	Neemias QuetaBOS	+3.5695	+2.4487	+0.4370	+2.0094	+1.1481	+1.0581	+0.0957	0%	7%	26%	51%
30	Tyrese MaxeyPHI	+3.3995	+2.3586	+1.6286	+0.7472	+1.0378	−0.0849	+1.1193	0%	5%	23%	47%
31	Paul ReedDET	+3.3795	+0.2460	+0.4471	−0.1939	+3.1299	+2.8398	+0.3070	0%	5%	23%	47%
32	Moussa DiabatéCHA	+3.3394	−1.2632	−1.1132	−0.1541	+4.58100	+4.35100	+0.2363	0%	5%	22%	46%
33	Kevin DurantHOU	+3.3294	+6.0998	+6.1399	−0.0444	−2.771	−2.401	−0.3731	0%	4%	21%	46%
34	Anthony DavisWAS	+3.2894	+2.7990	+1.3883	+1.4187	+0.4965	+0.0654	+0.4275	0%	5%	22%	47%
35	Evan MobleyCLE	+3.2394	+3.2692	+1.1881	+2.0896	−0.0348	−0.4136	+0.3873	0%	5%	21%	46%
36	LaMelo BallMIN	+3.2394	+1.0472	+2.7092	−1.666	+2.1994	+0.5269	+1.6798	0%	5%	21%	46%
37	Ja MorantPOR	+3.2193	+2.9091	+1.7187	+1.1982	+0.3159	+0.0051	+0.3170	0%	4%	20%	44%
38	Kon KnueppelCHA	+3.0693	+3.2993	+2.9494	+0.3558	−0.2441	−0.8319	+0.6081	0%	5%	20%	42%
39	OG AnunobyNYK	+3.0393	+2.7289	+1.3983	+1.3386	+0.3259	+0.6974	−0.3731	0%	3%	17%	40%
40	Jamal MurrayDEN	+3.0293	+3.1192	+3.5497	−0.4430	−0.0846	−1.496	+1.4197	0%	3%	16%	40%
41	Isaiah HartensteinOKC	+3.0193	+1.6779	+0.2666	+1.4187	+1.3484	+1.3385	+0.0153	0%	3%	17%	41%
42	Brandin PodziemskiGSW	+3.0092	+0.8869	−1.0035	+1.8994	+2.1293	+0.8477	+1.2896	0%	3%	17%	41%
43	Scottie BarnesTOR	+2.9992	+0.9970	−0.4550	+1.4388	+2.0192	+1.7791	+0.2464	0%	3%	18%	41%
44	Damian LillardPOR · returning	+2.9892	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·
45	Karl-Anthony TownsNYK	+2.9492	+3.5395	+3.8197	−0.2935	−0.5734	−1.368	+0.7888	0%	3%	16%	38%
46	Desmond BaneORL	+2.8792	+2.6288	+1.9489	+0.6870	+0.2658	−0.3339	+0.5980	0%	3%	15%	37%
47	Pascal SiakamIND	+2.8492	+1.4376	+0.6774	+0.7673	+1.4285	−0.0849	+1.5098	0%	2%	14%	36%
48	Austin ReavesLAL	+2.8291	+3.0791	+3.0395	+0.0447	−0.2541	−0.9817	+0.7387	0%	3%	15%	37%
49	Jalen SuggsORL	+2.7791	+1.8383	+0.8377	+1.0077	+0.9475	+1.0982	−0.1545	0%	3%	16%	37%
50	Fred VanVleetHOU · returning	+2.7591	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·
51	Darius GarlandLAC	+2.7491	+3.6195	+3.4396	+0.1852	−0.8725	−0.5629	−0.3134	0%	2%	14%	36%
52	Jaren Jackson Jr.UTA	+2.6991	+2.8390	−0.3354	+3.1599	−0.1444	+0.0051	−0.1446	0%	2%	13%	35%
53	Collin GillespiePHX	+2.6690	+0.2060	+1.0881	−0.8919	+2.4797	+1.0180	+1.4697	0%	2%	14%	34%
54	Jalen SmithCHI	+2.6390	+1.5477	+1.0280	+0.5164	+1.1080	+0.3363	+0.7787	0%	2%	13%	33%
55	Ryan RollinsMIL	+2.6190	+4.3697	+2.6092	+1.7693	−1.758	−1.0515	−0.6918	0%	3%	15%	35%
56	Robert Williams IIIPOR	+2.6090	+3.1192	+0.0462	+3.0799	−0.5135	+1.1683	−1.662	0%	3%	14%	34%
57	Alperen SengunHOU	+2.5890	+1.6980	+1.6185	+0.0949	+0.8973	+0.6272	+0.2666	0%	2%	13%	32%
58	Jalen BrunsonNYK	+2.5589	+1.2874	+2.8293	−1.557	+1.2983	−0.5130	+1.7999	0%	2%	12%	32%
59	Alex CarusoOKC	+2.5589	+0.7467	−0.6643	+1.4187	+1.8090	+2.0794	−0.2638	0%	2%	12%	32%
60	Deni AvdijaPOR	+2.4789	+2.7289	+2.9895	−0.2736	−0.2441	−0.5827	+0.3371	0%	1%	10%	30%

Shot value + possession value and O-LOKI + D-LOKI are exact splits of the frozen rating; players with too little NBA history to split show “·”. Odds come from the same posterior draws as the rating. Board hash (SHA-256): a1f9bad844c3855d…