Projected wins and playoff odds for every team, from LOKI.
How LOKI projections work →Projected winsPreseason10,000-season simulation
| Season | Per 100 vs average | Team rating | Conference finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | Wins ↓ | 80% range | Off | Def | Net | LOKI | ARC | Top 6 | Play-in | Lottery | #1 seed |
| 1 | Oklahoma City ThunderOKC · West | 59.4 | 4969 | +2.9 | +4.8 | +7.7 | +11.61 | +10.41 | 95% | 5% | <1% | 43% |
| 2 | Denver NuggetsDEN · West | 52.9 | 4164 | +6.1 | −1.1 | +5.0 | +7.92 | +5.07 | 81% | 17% | 3% | 15% |
| 3 | Houston RocketsHOU · West | 52.4 | 4164 | +1.6 | +3.0 | +4.5 | +7.43 | +3.011 | 79% | 18% | 3% | 14% |
| 4 | San Antonio SpursSAS · West | 51.0 | 3962 | +1.8 | +1.8 | +3.6 | +5.85 | +6.05 | 74% | 21% | 5% | 11% |
| 5 | Toronto RaptorsTOR · East | 50.5 | 3962 | +1.5 | +2.2 | +3.8 | +6.24 | +6.34 | 75% | 20% | 5% | 19% |
| 6 | Detroit PistonsDET · East | 49.8 | 3861 | +1.4 | +2.2 | +3.6 | +5.86 | +6.53 | 73% | 21% | 6% | 16% |
| 7 | Boston CelticsBOS · East | 49.1 | 3761 | +1.5 | +1.7 | +3.2 | +5.27 | +3.89 | 70% | 23% | 7% | 15% |
| 8 | Cleveland CavaliersCLE · East | 48.8 | 3761 | +3.0 | 0.0 | +3.1 | +5.08 | +7.72 | 68% | 24% | 8% | 15% |
| 9 | Los Angeles LakersLAL · West | 47.2 | 3559 | +2.6 | −0.1 | +2.5 | +4.49 | +5.76 | 58% | 32% | 10% | 6% |
| 10 | Orlando MagicORL · East | 46.1 | 3458 | −0.3 | +2.4 | +2.0 | +3.610 | +1.413 | 57% | 30% | 13% | 9% |
| 11 | Portland Trail BlazersPOR · West | 45.4 | 3457 | +0.5 | +1.4 | +1.9 | +3.512 | −2.220 | 51% | 36% | 13% | 4% |
| 12 | New York KnicksNYK · East | 45.0 | 3357 | +0.7 | +0.9 | +1.6 | +3.013 | −0.817 | 52% | 33% | 15% | 7% |
| 13 | Golden State WarriorsGSW · West | 45.0 | 3357 | +0.8 | +1.0 | +1.8 | +3.511 | +4.18 | 50% | 36% | 14% | 3% |
| 14 | Miami HeatMIA · East | 44.0 | 3256 | +0.4 | +0.6 | +1.0 | +2.114 | +3.510 | 48% | 34% | 18% | 6% |
| 15 | Phoenix SunsPHX · West | 41.8 | 3054 | 0.0 | +0.3 | +0.4 | +1.215 | +0.115 | 35% | 42% | 23% | 2% |
| 16 | Philadelphia 76ersPHI · East | 41.7 | 3054 | +1.0 | −0.6 | +0.4 | +1.117 | +0.814 | 39% | 36% | 25% | 4% |
| 17 | Atlanta HawksATL · East | 41.4 | 2953 | −0.7 | +0.8 | +0.2 | +0.918 | −2.119 | 38% | 36% | 26% | 4% |
| 18 | Minnesota TimberwolvesMIN · West | 40.3 | 2852 | 0.0 | +0.4 | +0.3 | +1.116 | +2.012 | 30% | 42% | 28% | 1% |
| 19 | Charlotte HornetsCHA · East | 39.7 | 2852 | −0.2 | −0.4 | −0.6 | −0.119 | −0.616 | 31% | 37% | 32% | 2% |
| 20 | Indiana PacersIND · East | 39.4 | 2751 | −0.4 | −0.5 | −0.9 | −0.620 | −5.525 | 30% | 37% | 33% | 2% |
| 21 | Utah JazzUTA · West | 36.0 | 2448 | −0.5 | −1.7 | −2.1 | −1.921 | −1.918 | 17% | 37% | 47% | <1% |
| 22 | New Orleans PelicansNOP · West | 35.0 | 2347 | −1.1 | −1.1 | −2.3 | −2.622 | −3.522 | 13% | 36% | 50% | <1% |
| 23 | Chicago BullsCHI · East | 32.3 | 2144 | −2.2 | −1.5 | −3.7 | −4.323 | −4.523 | 10% | 26% | 64% | <1% |
| 24 | LA ClippersLAC · West | 30.7 | 1942 | −2.6 | −1.3 | −4.0 | −5.024 | −6.226 | 6% | 25% | 69% | <1% |
| 25 | Memphis GrizzliesMEM · West | 30.3 | 1942 | −1.6 | −3.2 | −4.7 | −5.325 | −3.121 | 6% | 23% | 71% | <1% |
| 26 | Dallas MavericksDAL · West | 29.2 | 1841 | −3.7 | −0.9 | −4.6 | −5.926 | −5.124 | 5% | 21% | 74% | <1% |
| 27 | Milwaukee BucksMIL · East | 28.8 | 1840 | −2.3 | −2.6 | −5.0 | −6.427 | −6.827 | 5% | 18% | 77% | <1% |
| 28 | Washington WizardsWAS · East | 27.9 | 1739 | −2.7 | −2.7 | −5.4 | −6.828 | −8.329 | 4% | 16% | 80% | <1% |
| 29 | Brooklyn NetsBKN · East | 24.9 | 1536 | −4.1 | −2.4 | −6.5 | −8.629 | −7.128 | 2% | 10% | 88% | <1% |
| 30 | Sacramento KingsSAC · West | 23.9 | 1435 | −3.5 | −3.4 | −6.9 | −9.230 | −8.930 | 1% | 9% | 90% | <1% |