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LUMA Basketball Research · Blog · September 21, 2026

Kuminga’s Path to Success Lies in the Archetype of Wiggins and Gordon

Ayomide Awoyemi

ARC · PAC

I noticed ARC is pretty high on Kuminga compared to other impact metrics especially in his 23/24 season. Are you high on him?

AJ (@AJ23245), September 21, 2026

Kuminga's path to success with the Timberwolves is predicated on scaling down his usage and focusing on ancillaries. Not breaking news. Wiggins and Gordon are the championship models of success.

Both provided a lot of wins on the margin through positional size and defense, which let them warp the geometry of the court and create extra possessions. (KEY)

Both were versatile, low-usage, high-efficiency players.

One of the biggest benefits of Wiggins and Gordon in the champ was their secondary rim protection:

Gordon insulating Jokic a bit and Wiggins helping out with Draymond with no true 5.

That is one of the biggest weaknesses the Timberwolves had last year:

zero rim denial without Gobert on the floor and a lack of quality shot deterrence in general, despite having McDaniels.

Table 1. 2-year window (ARC v3). Value, then rank.

Kuminga 24-25Wiggins 21-22Gordon 22-23
Overall
ARC+0.26#140−0.77#178+5.32#17
Impact+0.14−1.63+4.09
O impact−0.96#240−2.21#335+2.93#18
D impact+1.10#83+0.58#120+1.16#46
Box+ (O / D)−0.68 / −0.04+0.47 / +0.08+1.17 / +0.07
Offense
Rim making+0.26#101−0.17#209+0.91#29
Shot selection−0.02#174−0.43#303+0.80#37
Off. glass−0.32#283−0.03#212+0.37#119
Half-court O−0.64#199−0.68#207+1.31#36
Transition O+0.61#39−0.16#204+0.39#64
Teammate-created−0.54#193−0.09#157+1.72#28
Rim attempts created−0.42#198−0.77#254+0.79#45
xPTS generation−0.66#230+0.15#58+0.75#51
xPTS-RAPM−0.07#159+0.04#61+0.99#57
Defense
Half-court D+0.84#52+1.47#15+0.21#116
Iso D+1.01#32+1.17#22+0.98#35
Opp. mid funnel+1.42#7+0.66#53+0.28#103
Opp. rim denial+0.88#24+0.77#34−0.26#211
Def. glass−0.23#279+0.09#1630.00#174
Usage load26.623.620.7

Kuminga's path to success with the Timberwolves is predicated on scaling down his usage and focusing on ancillaries. His self-creation attempts should go all the way down. If it's not transition, he should not be taking more than three dribbles. As a half-court scorer he just never developed.

Kuminga, in his best offensive season (23-24), was extremely lazy and ineffective on defense. He has since picked it up during his short stint in Atlanta and the year before, but wasn't as hyper-efficient as he should be. Fewer shots and a higher 3-point rate should move him well past bang-for-bang average.

Table 2. Points Above Cost

PACRankPAC/gTSShare
Kuminga 23-24+91.9#63 / 445+1.2459.8%24.0%
Kuminga 24-25−8.9#341 / 456−0.1953.5%28.2%
Kuminga 25-26+1.7#275 / 452+0.0555.7%22.0%
Wiggins 21-22+47.1#120 / 443+0.6556.0%23.2%
Gordon 22-23+108.2#56 / 436+1.5961.7%21.0%

LUMA Basketball Research · Data: public NBA play-by-play · © 2026 Court Share LLC

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